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March 7, 2025

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If the essence of stock investing is to buy low and sell high, then buying not just low, but at a steep discount, optimizes your potential returns. This strategy is what’s popularly called “buying the dip.”

Aside from avoiding falling knives, buying the dip as a general approach requires three things:

  1. Finding tools to identify a broad range of declining stocks.
  2. Selecting only those strong stocks on the verge of rebounding.
  3. Formulating a market entry setup.

This article covers the first two steps, though I’ll guide you through all three. I’m emphasizing the first two because there are numerous tools—more than I can cover in a single article—to help you identify a wide range of tradable stocks.

Finding Declining Stocks Amid a Rallying Market

As the markets recovered on Wednesday from a steep two-day decline, my first step was to check the Market Movers tool on my Dashboard to see which stocks were getting hit the hardest.

FIGURE 1. MARKET MOVERS % DOWN. Crowdstrike took the top spot for the biggest percentage loss on Wednesday morning.

Crowdstrike (CRWD) was the biggest decliner, down at the time by nearly 9%. To get a broader picture of the sector action, I switched to MarketCarpets’ tech sector view. It turns out that CRWD was the worst-hit stock amid an otherwise mostly greenish landscape.

FIGURE 2. MARKETCARPETS TECH SECTOR VIEW. This tells you that CRWD was among a few tech stocks experiencing a significant drop, while others were potentially rebounding.

If you check the StockCharts’ Symbol Summary page, you can see CRWD’s earnings and revenue history. While the company recently missed earnings estimates despite beating revenue expectations, the real driver behind the decline was weak earnings guidance.

Let’s switch to a weekly chart for a broader view of CRWD’s price action.

FIGURE 3. WEEKLY CHART OF CRWD. Despite the two sharp drops, the broader trend, which is bullish, is still intact.

CRWD’s uptrend began in 2023 but tumbled sharply in July 2024 after a faulty software update triggered a global IT outage. The stock rebounded later that month, rising sharply only to fall again in February due to disappointing fiscal guidance, insider selling, regulatory scrutiny, and broader macroeconomic concerns that pressured growth stocks.

Nevertheless, the uptrend, as volatile as it is, remains arguably intact. Using the Bollinger Bands® to gauge the trending action, you can see that CRWD has fallen below the middle band to rebound (you see this on the daily chart) at $340. Traders found this to be a favorable spot for entry, and I’ll show you why in the next section when analyzing the price action from a closer perspective.

Meanwhile, CRWD’s StockCharts Technical Rank (SCTR) score remains above 70 (my strength indicating threshold) though falling below the ultra-bullish 90-line. What does this look like from a broader sector perspective? Relative performance shows that CRWD is outperforming the broader tech sector (represented by XLK) by over 36%, though its lead has narrowed.

Let’s switch to a daily chart to see the price action up close.

FIGURE 4. DAILY CHART OF CRWD. Accumulation appears sharp, despite the dip.

The current pullback can be effectively measured by historical support, as shown by the green highlight and a Fibonacci Retracement from the August (2024) low to the February high. I included both since traders may analyze them separately or together, especially as their proximity suggests a potential convergence.

As you can see, bullish investors jumped in at the support level of $340, though, technically, a decline to the range between $300 and $330 would still be considered a favorable dip for those looking to go long. After the initial bounce, price appears to be falling back toward $340. If it drops below the green support range, expect a deeper pullback toward the 50% and 61.8% Fib levels.

The Relative Strength Index (RSI) has declined and, although it isn’t signaling oversold conditions, if CRWD does recover soon, the indicator suggests there’s plenty of room on the upside to run (though momentum doesn’t appear to be picking up yet). 

On the volume side of things, the picture looks brighter. The Chaikin Money Flow (CMF) has declined slightly but still indicates strong buying pressure. But what pops out is the Accumulation/Distribution Line (the orange line overlaid on the price chart). While the price was falling, this ADL was rising, suggesting that buyers might have been absorbing shares sold by weaker hands.

At the Close

Although I took a deep dive into CRWD, the main takeaway here is how I used Market Movers and MarketCarpets to spot potential buy-the-dip opportunities. These tools help identify stocks experiencing sharp declines while also providing a sector-wide perspective to gauge their position among peers.

If you’re looking to widen your dip-buying strategy, test these tools under different market conditions and across various stocks and sectors. The more you use them, the better you’ll become at distinguishing between a real opportunity and a falling knife.


Disclaimer: This blog is for educational purposes only and should not be construed as financial advice. The ideas and strategies should never be used without first assessing your own personal and financial situation, or without consulting a financial professional.

And, the Oscar, er, top StockCharts Technical Rank (SCTR) goes to XPeng, Inc. (XPEV), a Chinese smart electric vehicle (EV) manufacturer. XPEV has silently crept its way to the top of the list.

The Chinese EV industry has seen increased sales in the last month. This has made the space much more competitive for Tesla, Inc. (TSLA), which is seeing its sales in China decline. With XPeng’s new SUV slated to hit the market soon, XPEV has high hopes for 2025. I’m sure we’ll hear more about this when the company announces earnings on March 18, before the US market opens.

XPeng’s stock price has been rising steadily since August 2024, attracting the attention of several Wall Street analysts, many of whom have upped their ratings on the stock. And for good reason. The chart below compares XPEV stock to TSLA stock. Since mid-December, TSLA’s stock price (black solid line) has declined while XPEV’s has risen.

FIGURE 1. XPEV’S STOCK PRICE VS. TSLA’S STOCK PRICE. TSLA was the outperformer until mid-December, after which it started declining. In February 2025, XPEV outperformed TSLA.Chart source: StockCharts.com. For educational purposes.

Technically, XPEV has a lot going for it.

  • The stock is in a steady uptrend—its one-year performance is +132.81%.
  • XPEV’s SCTR score of 99.9 indicates the stock is technically strong.
  • The relative strength index (RSI) has just crossed 70, indicating there’s room for XPEV’s stock price to move higher.

The daily chart shows the stock price is trading close to its 52-week high of $22.80. A breakout above this level would be positive for the stock and could pave the way for the stock price to move toward its all-time high of $74.49. Let’s switch to the weekly chart of XPEV.

The weekly chart below shows XPEV’s stock price is approaching its weekly July 2023 high, which could be the more likely resistance level XPEV would have to break through.

FIGURE 2. WEEKLY CHART OF XPEV’S STOCK PRICE. The stock price is approaching its 2023 weekly high, which could act as a resistance level. The percentage price oscillator in the lower panel indicates strong momentum in the stock’s price.Chart source: StockCharts.com. For educational purposes.

The percentage price oscillator (PPO) in the lower panel shows the stock has had strong upside momentum and could be overbought. A pullback in the stock’s price is likely to occur. If this pans out and XPEV reverses and pushes through the resistance on the weekly chart with a strong upside follow-through, it would be worth adding XPEV to your portfolio.

Keep an eye on this one. At the rate smart EVs are going, don’t be surprised to find flying cars coming to dealerships.


Disclaimer: This blog is for educational purposes only and should not be construed as financial advice. The ideas and strategies should never be used without first assessing your own personal and financial situation, or without consulting a financial professional.

Those interested in the lithium sector and investing in lithium stocks are often curious about which countries are the top producers of the battery metal, but they may not stop to consider the top lithium reserves by country.

Major lithium-producing countries are, of course, home to a large number of lithium companies. Many of the world’s top lithium producers also hold significant reserves, and their reserves can give an idea of how much room those countries have to grow. At the same time, nations with high reserves may become more significant lithium players in the future.

Looking forward, lithium demand is expected to continue increasing. That’s because, together with metals such as cobalt, lithium is a key raw material in the lithium-ion batteries used to power electric vehicles, and it is also essential for the energy storage sector.

On that note, here’s an overview of lithium reserves by country, with a focus on the four countries that host the world’s largest lithium deposits. Total worldwide lithium reserves stand at 30,000,000 metric tons as of 2024. Data is based on the most recent information from the US Geological Survey. Reserves data refers to contained lithium content.

1. Chile

Lithium reserves: 9.3 million metric tons

Chile holds the largest lithium reserves in the world at 9.3 million metric tons. The country reportedly hosts most of the world’s “economically extractable” lithium reserves, and its Salar de Atacama region houses approximately 33 percent of the world’s lithium reserve base.

Chile was the second biggest producer of lithium in 2024 at 44,000 metric tons (MT). SQM (NYSE:SQM) and Albemarle (NYSE:ALB) are the key lithium producers in Chile, with operations in the Salar de Atacama.

In late April 2023, Chilean President Gabriel Boric announced plans to partially nationalize the country’s lithium industry in a bid to bolster the economy and protect the environment. “This is the best chance we have at transitioning to a sustainable and developed economy,” he said at the time.

Chile’s state-owned mining company Codelco has negotiated for much larger stakes in both SQM and Albemarle’s lithium assets in the country, and will have controlling interests in all operations in that salar going forward.

According to the Baker Institute, Chile’s strict legal framework surrounding mining concessions has hamstrung the lithium powerhouse from gaining a bigger share of the global lithium market comparable with this mineral largess.

In early 2025, Chile received seven bids for lithium operation contracts across six salt flats, with a key contender beign a consortium of Eramet (EPA:ERA), Chilean miner Quiborax and state-owned Codelco. The government will announce winners in March 2025, while a second bidding phase has been extended to boost participation.

2. Australia

Lithium reserves: 7 million metric tons

Australia’s lithium reserves stand at 7 million metric tons, the majority of which are found in Western Australia. Unlike those found in Chile and Argentina, Australia’s lithium reserves are in the form of hard-rock spodumene deposits.

Although it is second to Chile in reserves, Australia was the largest lithium-producing country in the world in 2024, with many operational lithium mines in the country.

The country is home to the Greenbushes lithium mine, which is operated by Talison Lithium, a joint venture comprised of lithium producers Tianqi Lithium (OTC Pink:TQLCF,SZSE:002466), Australian miner IGO (ASX:IGO,OTC Pink:IPGDF) and Albemarle. Greenbushes has been producing lithium since 1985.

A sharp decline in lithium prices has led some of the country’s lithium companies to curtail or outright halt their lithium operations and development projects until market conditions improve.

While Western Australia dominates lithium exploration, new research highlights untapped potential in Queensland, New South Wales and Victoria. Published in ‘Earth System Science Data,’ the 2023 study — led by University of Sydney researchers with Geoscience Australia — maps regions with high lithium density, signaling broader opportunities for the growing battery metal market.

“We’ve developed the first map of lithium in Australian soils which identifies areas with elevated concentrations,” said Professor Budiman Minasny. “The map agrees with existing mines and highlights areas that can be potential future lithium sources.”

3. Argentina

Lithium reserves: 4 million metric tons

Argentina ranks third in terms of global lithium reserves at 4 million metric tons. It’s worth noting that Argentina, Chile and Bolivia comprise the “Lithium Triangle,” which hosts more than half of the world’s lithium reserves. The country is also the fourth largest lithium producer in the world, and last year it put out 18,000 MT of the metal.

In May 2022, the Argentine government committed to investing up to US$4.2 billion in its lithium industry over the next three years with the goal of increasing lithium output.

More recently, in April 2024, the government greenlit Argosy Minerals’ (ASX:AGY,OTC Pink:ARYMF) expansion of its operations at the Rincon salar to raise annual lithium carbonate production from 2,000 MT to 12,000 MT.

Argentina hosts around 50 advanced lithium mining projects, reports Fastmarkets. “Argentina’s lithium production remains cost-competitive even in a low-price environment,” said Ignacio Celorrio, executive VP of legal and government affairs at Lithium Argentina.

In late 2024 mining major Rio Tinto (ASX:RIO,NYSE:RIO,LSE:RIO) announced plans to invest US$2.5 billion to expand lithium extraction at its operations on Argentina’s Rincon salar, increasing capacity from 3,000 to 60,000 MT, with full capacity reached following a three-year ramp up period beginning in 2028.

4. China

Lithium reserves: 3 million metric tons

China holds lithium reserves of 3 million metric tons. The country has a mix of deposit types; lithium brines make up the majority of its reserves, but it has spodumene and lepidolite hard-rock reserves as well.

Last year it produced 41,000 MT of the mineral, a 5,300 MT increase from the previous year. While it does have significant production and is working to increase it, the Asian nation currently still imports most of the lithium it needs for its battery cells from Australia.

China’s lithium usage is high due to its electronics manufacturing and electric vehicle industries. It also produces the majority of the world’s lithium-ion batteries and hosts most of the world’s lithium-processing facilities.

In October 2024, the US State Department accused China of flooding the market with lithium to create a low price environment to kill off ex-China competition.

“They engage in predatory pricing… (they) lower the price until competition disappears. That is what is happening,” stated Jose W. Fernandez, the US Under Secretary of State for Economic Growth, Energy and the Environment.

In early 2025, Chinese media reported that the country has significantly bolstered its lithium ore reserves, claiming national deposits now account for 16.5 percent of global resources, up from 6 percent.

The surge is attributed in part to the discovery of a 2,800 kilometer lithium belt in the western regions, with proven reserves exceeding 6.5 million tons of lithium ore and potential resources surpassing 30 million tons. Additionally, advancements in extracting lithium from salt lakes and mica have further expanded China’s reserves.

Other lithium reserves by country

While Chile, Australia, Argentina and China are home to the world’s highest lithium reserves, other countries also hold significant amounts of the metal. Here’s a quick look at these other nations:

  • United States — 1,800,000 MT
  • Canada — 1,200,000 MT
  • Brazil — 390,000 MT
  • Zimbabwe — 480,000 MT
  • Portugal — 60,000 MT

As the lithium industry continues to grow, production has followed, and many of these countries with high reserves are becoming significant producers as well.

FAQs for lithium reserves

Where in the world are the best lithium reserves?

Chile has the largest lithium reserves, and the three countries that make up the Lithium Triangle — Argentina, Bolivia and Chile — together account for a large portion of the world’s lithium reserves.

What are the biggest lithium reserves in Europe?

Portugal has the biggest lithium reserves in Europe, coming in at 60,000 metric tons. The Southern European country produced 380 MT of lithium in 2024, the same as the previous year.

Securities Disclosure: I, Georgia Williams, hold no direct investment interest in any company mentioned in this article.

This post appeared first on investingnews.com

Goldman Sachs Kostin analyst has issued a warning that the S&P 500 may be headed for a significant correction. His comments, based on current market data and public economic trends, suggest that heightened market risks could force investors to reconsider their positions.

Rising Market Risks and Overvaluation

According to Goldman Sachs Kostin, current market conditions point to growing volatility. He notes that the S&P 500 appears overvalued when measured against fundamental economic indicators. In addition, factors such as rising interest rates and economic uncertainty have increased the overall market risk. These factors, when combined, can create an environment where a correction is likely.

Investor Caution Amid Volatile Trends

Investors are being urged to remain cautious. Kostin emphasizes that the prevailing market optimism may be unsustainable if key economic data turns negative. Many market experts agree that investor caution is necessary during such periods of volatility. In turn, a pullback in the S&P 500 could offer a correction that might reset market valuations to more sustainable levels.

Implications for the Broader Market

A potential S&P 500 correction could have far-reaching implications for other asset classes. With heightened market volatility, investors might shift their focus to safer assets. Moreover, such a correction may serve as a wake-up call for the broader market, prompting both retail and institutional investors to review their portfolios and risk management strategies.

Conclusion

In summary, public data and current market trends support Kostin’s warning about the S&P 500. Rising market risks, overvaluation, and economic uncertainties are key factors that may trigger a correction. Investors should stay informed and practice caution as they navigate these turbulent market conditions. Ultimately, this forecast calls for a balanced approach to risk and a strategic review of investment positions.

This analysis is based on widely reported public market data and reflects a growing consensus among financial experts. As the market evolves, monitoring these trends closely will be essential for making well-informed decisions.

The post Goldman Sachs Kostin Warns of a Potential S&P 500 Correction appeared first on FinanceBrokerage.

Macy’s delivered another quarter of mixed results on Thursday as investors wait and see how quickly CEO Tony Spring can pull off a turnaround of the business with yet another activist investor looking to take the chain private.

Across the business, which includes the Macy’s banner, Bloomingdale’s and Blue Mercury, comparable sales during the all-important holiday quarter were down 1.1%. But comparable sales across its owned and licensed businesses, plus its online marketplace, were up 0.2%, which is the highest the metric has been since the first quarter of 2022. 

Plus, the so-called First 50 locations — the stores that Macy’s is devoting more resources to as part of its turnaround plan — saw comparable sales up 0.8%, marking the fourth quarter in a row the metric has been positive.

The two bright spots in an otherwise worse-than-expected set of results suggest Macy’s turnaround is showing some signs of life — it just might not be working fast enough.

For fiscal 2025, Macy’s is expecting adjusted earnings per share of $2.05 to $2.25 and sales of between $21 billion and $21.4 billion, lower than Wall Street expectations of $2.31 per share and $21.8 billion, according to LSEG.

Macy’s shares fell slightly in early trading.

Here’s how the department store performed during its fiscal fourth quarter, compared with what Wall Street was anticipating, based on a survey of analysts by LSEG:

The company’s reported net income for the three-month period that ended Feb. 1 was $342 million, or $1.21 per share, compared with a loss of $128 million, or a loss of 47 cents per share, a year earlier. Excluding one-time items including impairments and settlement and restructuring charges, Macy’s reported earnings of $507 million, or $1.80 per share. 

Sales dropped to $7.77 billion, down about 4% from $8.12 billion a year earlier. Like other retailers, Macy’s benefited from an extra selling week in the year-ago period, which has skewed comparisons. 

For the current quarter, Macy’s is expecting adjusted earnings per share of between 12 cents and 15 cents and sales of between $4.4 billion and $4.5 billion, far below estimates of 28 cents and $4.71 billion, according to LSEG.

On a call with analysts, chief operating officer and chief financial officer Adrian Mitchell said the company is taking a “prudent” approach to guidance given the fluid nature of the turnaround plan, cautious consumer spending and uncertainties created by recent tariff increases between the U.S. and major trade partners.

“If we weren’t in the environment that were operating in, I would be even more bullish on our potential,” CEO Spring said during a call with analysts. “But I think prudency is important at this point in time.”

Macy’s mixed results come just over a year into Spring’s tenure as the legacy department store’s chief executive and his three-year strategy to turn the business around. While Bloomingdale’s and Blue Mercury saw another quarter of positive comparable sales, growing 4.8% and 6.2%, respectively, Macy’s namesake banner continues to be the company’s laggard with comps down 1.9%. 

To address long-standing issues at the legacy banner, Spring has implemented an aggressive store closure plan that includes shuttering 150 doors and a strategy to fix its better-performing locations. As Macy’s and other department stores have shrunk over the years, it’s faced criticism for neglecting its stores, not having enough staff and falling behind on the retail essentials that are necessary to win in any environment. 

Spring has started to address those issues by investing in 50 locations and providing better staffing, merchandising and visual presentation of the company’s varied assortment.

So far, the plan appears to be working. When Macy’s added more staffing to the shoes and handbag departments at 100 test locations, those stores outperformed shops that didn’t have those investments, Spring said Thursday.

Storewide, the first 50 locations have continued to outperform the bulk of the chain, and in February, the company added an additional 75 stores to the program, bringing the total number of “reimagined” locations to 125.

“Performance of both the first 50 and the 100 test stores illustrate that when we invest in the customer experience, we can grow sales,” said Spring. “Now we must scale these changes in order to achieve our long-term goals.”

In fiscal 2024, comparable sales across Macy’s business were still down by 0.9%, but that’s an improvement of 5.1 percentage points compared to fiscal 2023. In the fourth quarter, comparable sales at the Macy’s nameplate also saw a decline of 0.9%, up 3.8 percentage points from the prior year.

Still, investors shouldn’t expect a return to growth this year. The company is projecting comparable sales for the owned stores it’s keeping open, plus its licensed businesses and online marketplace, to be down 2% to flat in fiscal 2025 compared to the prior year.

Reimagined stores now make up 36% of the 350 Macy’s locations that the business plans to keep open after it finishes closing underperforming locations. It will take time — and capital — to extend its strategy to the bulk of the chain. Spring has given the company two more years to pull it off, but whether investors have the patience to see the strategy play out — and whether macroeconomic conditions will slow it down — remains to be seen. 

In December, activist investor Barington Capital revealed it has a position in Macy’s and wants the company to cut spending, explore selling its luxury brands and take a hard look at its real estate portfolio. It’s the fourth activist push at the department store in the last decade.

Like the activists that had come right before it, Arkhouse and Brigade, many suspect that Barington is mainly after Macy’s lucrative real estate portfolio and is more interested in juicing it for profit than doing the work necessary to revitalize the chain. Still, Macy’s must act in the interest of shareholders and if it’s not doing enough to return value quickly an activist could eventually win out.

Macy’s on Thursday announced its intent to resume share buybacks under its remaining $1.4 billion share repurchase authorization, “market conditions pending.” 

“Building on our momentum, we continue to elevate the customer experience, deliver operational excellence and make prudent capital investments,” said Mitchell. “We remain committed to generating healthy free cash flow and returning capital to shareholders through share buybacks and predictable quarterly dividends.” 

This post appeared first on NBC NEWS

Macy’s delivered another quarter of mixed results on Thursday as investors wait and see how quickly CEO Tony Spring can pull off a turnaround of the business with yet another activist investor looking to take the chain private.

Across the business, which includes the Macy’s banner, Bloomingdale’s and Blue Mercury, comparable sales during the all-important holiday quarter were down 1.1%. But comparable sales across its owned and licensed businesses, plus its online marketplace, were up 0.2%, which is the highest the metric has been since the first quarter of 2022. 

Plus, the so-called First 50 locations — the stores that Macy’s is devoting more resources to as part of its turnaround plan — saw comparable sales up 0.8%, marking the fourth quarter in a row the metric has been positive.

The two bright spots in an otherwise worse-than-expected set of results suggest Macy’s turnaround is showing some signs of life — it just might not be working fast enough.

For fiscal 2025, Macy’s is expecting adjusted earnings per share of $2.05 to $2.25 and sales of between $21 billion and $21.4 billion, lower than Wall Street expectations of $2.31 per share and $21.8 billion, according to LSEG.

Macy’s shares fell slightly in early trading.

Here’s how the department store performed during its fiscal fourth quarter, compared with what Wall Street was anticipating, based on a survey of analysts by LSEG:

The company’s reported net income for the three-month period that ended Feb. 1 was $342 million, or $1.21 per share, compared with a loss of $128 million, or a loss of 47 cents per share, a year earlier. Excluding one-time items including impairments and settlement and restructuring charges, Macy’s reported earnings of $507 million, or $1.80 per share. 

Sales dropped to $7.77 billion, down about 4% from $8.12 billion a year earlier. Like other retailers, Macy’s benefited from an extra selling week in the year-ago period, which has skewed comparisons. 

For the current quarter, Macy’s is expecting adjusted earnings per share of between 12 cents and 15 cents and sales of between $4.4 billion and $4.5 billion, far below estimates of 28 cents and $4.71 billion, according to LSEG.

On a call with analysts, chief operating officer and chief financial officer Adrian Mitchell said the company is taking a “prudent” approach to guidance given the fluid nature of the turnaround plan, cautious consumer spending and uncertainties created by recent tariff increases between the U.S. and major trade partners.

“If we weren’t in the environment that were operating in, I would be even more bullish on our potential,” CEO Spring said during a call with analysts. “But I think prudency is important at this point in time.”

Macy’s mixed results come just over a year into Spring’s tenure as the legacy department store’s chief executive and his three-year strategy to turn the business around. While Bloomingdale’s and Blue Mercury saw another quarter of positive comparable sales, growing 4.8% and 6.2%, respectively, Macy’s namesake banner continues to be the company’s laggard with comps down 1.9%. 

To address long-standing issues at the legacy banner, Spring has implemented an aggressive store closure plan that includes shuttering 150 doors and a strategy to fix its better-performing locations. As Macy’s and other department stores have shrunk over the years, it’s faced criticism for neglecting its stores, not having enough staff and falling behind on the retail essentials that are necessary to win in any environment. 

Spring has started to address those issues by investing in 50 locations and providing better staffing, merchandising and visual presentation of the company’s varied assortment.

So far, the plan appears to be working. When Macy’s added more staffing to the shoes and handbag departments at 100 test locations, those stores outperformed shops that didn’t have those investments, Spring said Thursday.

Storewide, the first 50 locations have continued to outperform the bulk of the chain, and in February, the company added an additional 75 stores to the program, bringing the total number of “reimagined” locations to 125.

“Performance of both the first 50 and the 100 test stores illustrate that when we invest in the customer experience, we can grow sales,” said Spring. “Now we must scale these changes in order to achieve our long-term goals.”

In fiscal 2024, comparable sales across Macy’s business were still down by 0.9%, but that’s an improvement of 5.1 percentage points compared to fiscal 2023. In the fourth quarter, comparable sales at the Macy’s nameplate also saw a decline of 0.9%, up 3.8 percentage points from the prior year.

Still, investors shouldn’t expect a return to growth this year. The company is projecting comparable sales for the owned stores it’s keeping open, plus its licensed businesses and online marketplace, to be down 2% to flat in fiscal 2025 compared to the prior year.

Reimagined stores now make up 36% of the 350 Macy’s locations that the business plans to keep open after it finishes closing underperforming locations. It will take time — and capital — to extend its strategy to the bulk of the chain. Spring has given the company two more years to pull it off, but whether investors have the patience to see the strategy play out — and whether macroeconomic conditions will slow it down — remains to be seen. 

In December, activist investor Barington Capital revealed it has a position in Macy’s and wants the company to cut spending, explore selling its luxury brands and take a hard look at its real estate portfolio. It’s the fourth activist push at the department store in the last decade.

Like the activists that had come right before it, Arkhouse and Brigade, many suspect that Barington is mainly after Macy’s lucrative real estate portfolio and is more interested in juicing it for profit than doing the work necessary to revitalize the chain. Still, Macy’s must act in the interest of shareholders and if it’s not doing enough to return value quickly an activist could eventually win out.

Macy’s on Thursday announced its intent to resume share buybacks under its remaining $1.4 billion share repurchase authorization, “market conditions pending.” 

“Building on our momentum, we continue to elevate the customer experience, deliver operational excellence and make prudent capital investments,” said Mitchell. “We remain committed to generating healthy free cash flow and returning capital to shareholders through share buybacks and predictable quarterly dividends.” 

This post appeared first on NBC NEWS